Monday, January 19, 2009

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Myths poker

Having played poker significantly over the last three years I have noticed that most of those playing this game a dim eye roulette and see it immediately as a game which is less possible to win at poker. Most of them, when I tell them about roulette mention that this game depends on chance. As if that was not the case of poker ...

All mention of the fact that when you play roulette, it "plays against the casino," while when playing poker, "plays against other players." It seems in their eyes, easier to win against nine opponents who want at any price, and by all means, take their tokens, as against only one, the casino, which shot after shot, plays Similarly predetermined. A bit like blackjack, the dealer must follow the letter of pre-established rules and rigid. Knowing that the highest qualities of the masters of poker is to know literally hide their game as much as possible by varying the way they play, to better fool the enemy, we can say that poker and roulette at the two ends of the spectrum of predictability. And at several levels.

If I am offered the opportunity to face an opponent in any game whatsoever and I have a choice between a player always acting the same way and another constantly varying his game, I will choose without hesitation the first.

If I said that to win X amount, I had to beat an opponent either alone or nine opponents (or worse: 16000), I also choose the first option.

If they offered me a game where I can withdraw at any time without offending and another person where, after winning, it is difficult to get up without upsetting his opponents and impossible to do in tournaments, I would choose again, the first option.

The fact that players think of poker face "other players" and not "casino" is, in turn, equally wrong. Whether you play in cash games or tournament, the casino edge to this game, unfortunately, is far more detrimental than what can be found at roulette and many other games available.

Most places where you can play poker rake take a 10% all the money ends up in the pots at cash games. Note well here it is not 10% of the amount you are willing to commit early in the game, but 10% of all the bets you place during the game.

If, within a few hours of play, you place bets totaling, for example, $ 3,000, you should have lost about $ 300. This does not manifest itself as precisely that during a game or two data but in the long term, this statistical disadvantage entered the heart of this game should make you lose 10% of everything you bet. Thus, the casinos, this game like all others, enrich at the expense of the vast majority of their customers.

At tournaments, the same principle is at work. Whether you're in a real casino or on PokerStars.com, a tournament costing you $ 10 actually cost you $ 11. A tournament will cost $ 100 total $ 110 or more.

As for the aspect of "chance" of the roulette game that is often pressure to speak my interlocutors poker enthusiasts, it is no less present in poker. Whether you're the greatest master of the bluff that is, it will always end up needing good cards if you want to do anything worthwhile when a poker game.

You have about as much chance to have a pair of 4 in your hands in a game of Texas Holdem than winning a bet riding on the wheel (a bet covering two numbers with one bet the overlap). What you get constantly good cards in a poker match will earn you proportionally as much as if your numbers come out during a game of roulette. The reverse is also true. Obtaining bad cards in large quantities correspond to the failure hitter his numbers in roulette.

A French roulette with the rule "in prison" has a edge of only 1.35%. Compared to 10% found common in poker, it seems pretty good.

Being familiar with the probabilities of the game of roulette, really "sense" occurrences and non-occurrences of events with varying probabilities for having played enough, may help some to be better at poker by knowing look, literally put Side-by-side, the odds of roulette and poker, to make better choices.

And if you look at it as a poker player, there will always be dozens of games kitchen or living room in which you will not need to lose 10% of all your bets.

Monday, January 5, 2009

Without Clothes Midnigth Hot

Monetary strategies at roulette

It is important when playing roulette or other games of chance, have a clear set of strategies scaffolded before undertaking any development whatsoever, before risking a single penny of your money earned the sweat of your brow.

We must first and foremost we have a comprehensive strategy dictating what our bankroll s maximum / minimum, our play time allotted maximum and minimum percentages of gain or loss that it's time we to withdraw from the game, etc..

It must also have a game plan to own one to which we engaged. For example, knowing the tips of his fingers all martingales and progressions roulette, know the card counting blackjack to , know how to calculate its odds poker, etc..

But we must also have a monetary strategy''clearly established''before playing a particular party. Means primarily the monetary strategy of putting all the rules that we follow based on the relative magnitude of our bankroll during the game.

One of the basic principles governing the management of their bankroll could be summarized as follows:

"The more bankroll is large relative to its original amount, the more we can afford to gradually increase his bets, the more we can take risks. Note here that I say "may" and not "we must" or "must". This is the only context in which, according to the techniques that I use, I can if I want to take a little more risk. Over the bankroll is small compared to the original amount, the more we must reduce its bets and be more careful. "

illustrate this with a simple example. Let's say Joe has a bankroll session - a session that can be composed of one or more parts - $ 500. Its basic unit is $ 5 per token (1% 500 $). If, during the game he achieved, for example, $ 700 in total, could now, if thought fit, playing with chips worth $ 7. If, instead, he went down to $ 300, it might consider using tokens $ 3 for the time necessary to try to recover at least $ 200 lost.

Doing so allows you to create an effect similar to compound interest when you're in a lucky wave and limit your losses if you are unlucky in a wave.

Maybe you've already had a science teacher made you a little mystified by saying that as you move an object from a wall half the distance that separates them, and as many times as you want, never the object will reach the wall. Imagine a ball located 1 m from a wall. Move closer to the wall than half that distance. 50 cm, 25 cm, 12.5 cm, etc.. Do this ten times and your ball will then be at 0.01 cm from the wall but do not touch.

A player who would fall all the time its made to match the value of a token 1% of his bankroll any losses should, theoretically, never completely exhausted. I say "theoretically" here because the casinos will not let you decrease your bets as to infinity. The minimum bet the casino is here to remember the boundaries within which you can play. The width of these borders is your greatest ally as a roulette player. We return to this subject in a future article.

"A wave, it brings you luck or bad luck
will always have an end."

In techniques that I favor, 1% of bankroll represents roughly , a base unit. This is both because only use I have come to the conclusion that it was the best option, neither too aggressive nor too passive, needed to win this game, besides being an element mathematical basis of ten who can perform simple mental calculations during the game. To try to maximize your winnings at the roulette table, you must walk the fine line that separates the side "too risky" side "too conservative".

If you are really an amateur venture, you can increase the value of your token based on a percentage of 2% or 3% per token. I do not recommend it. Beyond 1-2%, I consider that the element of chance take too much space in your gains or losses at the expense of implementing strategies that often require a little more patience and application, but which give more predictable results. Strategies in which incremental increases or reduces its risk level very gradually with the results we get are preferred.

If instead, you're more the type neophyte - the kind uncle Marcel playing roulette for the first time in his life - I suggest you use tokens whose unit value is more around 0, 5%, 0.33% or 0.25% of your bankroll session. If you had $ 250 bankroll you could use $ 1 coins for example (0.40% per token). This will stretch the length of your gaming session while decreasing the probability of large gains or large potential losses, but will also make you more likely to encounter a possible long wave unlucky.

Here are some basics that will help you determine what your strategy "investment".

Never bet more than 1% of your gross annual
Roughly speaking, this rule requires that you not playing more than 1% of your gross annual income during a given year. Roulette is a game which often produce earnings well above those obtainable in any other legal framework, it must be considered an investment with very, very high risk''in which we invest a''very, very small proportion of its overall portfolio.

conservative investors often shiver of excitement before the risk can offer some investments, often preferring to opt for the security of an investment yielding a small percentage of annual earnings, rather than risk more by having recourse to a potentially higher investment risky but potentially more profitable. I remind that an investment in higher risk requires logically put less money, corollary to the fact that this investment can potentially earn you a percentage much higher. If you lose your high-risk investment, you'll have lost a smaller amount than what you would put in a more traditional investment and potentially less profitable. If you

approximately $ 10,000 per year, you can not risk more than $ 100 per year. If you make $ 100,000 a year, you can not risk more than $ 1,000 per year. Etc..

We strongly recommend that annual amount divided into four or five sub-sums, enabling one can risk $ 1000 a year of playing, say, five parts of $ 200 or six parties whose bankrolls could be the successive : 75 $ $ 100, $ 125, $ 150, $ 200 and $ 350. There is no shadow of a doubt that it is easier for a novice player to face a few different game sessions with smaller amounts than attempting a big session with an amount representing his entire bankroll year. This is a concept somewhat similar to how an investor would spread the money from his portfolio on a series of investments rather than putting all your eggs in one basket.

non-taxable gains made at the casino have a value greater than any gain.
Some countries have casinos whose earnings are 100% tax excluded. This applies, among other casinos located in Quebec.

Suppose Joe has a job related to him $ 100,000 a year. He must pay 50% of its gross income to tax. Every dollar earned and therefore has a real value of 50 cents.

If Joe pulled the same income of $ 100,000 through various stock investments, it should pay 25% of its gross income to tax, because in Canada's capital gains are taxed at 50% . Every dollar earned and will have a value of 75 cents.

The same $ 100,000 won at the casino or the lottery would bring in exactly this: $ 100,000 net. Every dollar earned in this manner will have a value of $ 1.

This fact should motivate you to strive for gains of 50% of the amount you are targeting "really". For example, if a 50% gain in one session of play seems a purpose worth, divide by two. 25% gain in real terms equates to a gain of 37.50% makes the stock market or 50% depending on the value scale of dollars earned by working.

Please note again that this example applies to Quebec and not necessarily elsewhere. The tax rules and those on winnings from casinos vary enormously from one country to another. Please consult a person qualified to assist you in regard to anything concerning your finances, investments, etc.. to learn more about it.

The monetary aspect of your game must understand - a little to the instance of serious investors who act this way - a plan for what you will do if ever, after winning an amount you think is interesting, you put yourself then to lose it again. How much of your hard-earned win would you be ready to let go before you decide to withdraw or at least take a break so you do not lose it again probably all your winnings.

Say Martin arrived at the casino with $ 500 in his pocket. Before his arrival, he had already decided to play "both sides" to $ 250 each. This means that, whatever the type of technique that he planned to use, it would play a part for $ 250 with $ 2 chips (each unit representing 0.8% of its then to bankroll part) and that, should complete loss of that amount, he would play another party for $ 250, without actually increasing its level of risk, ie using chips from the same denomination, $ 2, and a technique similar to that used during the first part.

The question we bother with here is rather to know what would happen if, in his first game, Martin earned X amount of interest and began to lose it again.

After an hour of play, his winnings are $ 120. Compared to his bankroll part, this represents a gain of 48%. It is a very good result equivalent to 0.8% increase per minute.

Compared to the maximum amount that he's risking his bankroll or $ 64 (his bankroll are never dropped below $ 186) this is a magnificent 187% gain, equivalent to 3.12% gain per minute tax free to boot. This is a more than excellent result.

It is rare for Martin to do more than 3-4% per minute in the game of roulette using the techniques he prefers. 3-4% per minute literally represents the upper limit of what can be achieved by him. The hundreds of hours he spent practicing, constantly refine his techniques, have enabled him to see what is possible and what is not, what is more probable and what is less. He considers himself very lucky in the circumstances and try, whenever possible, to consolidate these gains, and not, as would amount to gamblers try to endless remultiplier this amount to the detriment of the most elementary prudence. As if this wave of opportunity would be infinite ... Morning

How should therefore accept the loss of $ 120 before leaving this part? $ 20? $ 40? $ 60? More? The answer to this question belongs to you fully. I will simply say that it is more depressing to lose it again 100% of its earnings, not lose it again correct that up to 50% and preferable to limit this loss to 25% less. This requires a lot of self control .

Always calculate gains or losses as a percentage per minute you can literally how you're doing during the game. Appreciate the value of a gain obtained and this will help you out in a timely manner.

Good practice!